Tuesday, July 19, 2011

11th Commandment

So Alex Tabarrok has a post today on suggestions for an 11th Commandment, seemingly suggesting that the 10 already proposed thousands of years back weren't enough.

Abstracting from warnings about adding to the words of the Bible, and the utter irony of the created man saying to his creator "I don't think you got this quite right", this is a great example of how I think most people view Christianity - something to pick and choose from, and amend if we don't like it.

I think most of all is the silliness of the proposed commandment - at what point is the sixth commandment (thou shalt not murder - especially taken in the context of Matthew 5:21-24) not sufficient to cover not spreading the Word of God by the sword?

It probably reveals another common misunderstanding or misperception of Christians, that they should all be following all these rules, and if they don't, they won't get into Heaven, and hence when they fail (like spreading the word by the sword) they are criticised as hypocrites. Christianity is about relationship with the Lord Jesus, about forgiveness of sins, not about becoming perfect and not sinning in the here and now.

 

Thursday, July 14, 2011

Straw Man Ahoy!

A little while back, I read (and blogged) about David Henderson's reflections on left vs right, or liberal vs libertarian discussion. Henderson commented that, on balance, libertarians were much better than liberals at characterising the position of the other side. He's since gone on to write a lot about turing tests, which appear to be attempts by people to argue the position of somebody ideologically opposed to them. On reflection, the best response to that is something involving the words "stones", "throw" and "glass houses".  Particularly because libertarians are up there with the worst of us liberals at creating straw men of the other side of the argument, and today on Cafe Hayek there's another priceless example: Aggregate Healthiness.

My suspicion is that the analogy isn't lost on anyone who has ever studied economics or reads up on economic issues. Aggregate Healthiness is Aggregate Demand, and Gross Bodily Health (GBH) is Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Boudreaux is, of course, trying to mock his straw man Keynesian, who says: "Doesn't matter what government spends on, but government must spend if GDP falls - gotta keep AD up!"

Now, maybe that's the simplistic Keynesianism exhibited by newspaper hacks the world over, but I don't know of any genuine economists who would actually state such a thing. My suspicion is that the Boudreaux response would be: Well, you believe in the national accounts identity that yields AD, i.e. AD=C+I+G+NX, where NX is net exports, C is consumption, I is investment and G is government spending, and hence you must believe any type of G is useful in raising AD and hence GDP! We should even dig holes and bury banknotes, since paying people to do that will stimulate the economy!

Now of course, that could be done, and the amount of money in the economy would increase since people would be being paid to dig these holes. But the supply capacity of the economy would remain unchanged, and arguably would actually contract - since those folk might have done something productive instead of digging holes for the government.

The essential point is it would be the most blind and blinkered economist to assert that "it doesn’t matter" what is done to raise AD provided it is raised, just as it would be a crank doctor who did that. Yet, apparently, Boudreaux thinks he characterises Keynesian economists really well here.

Anybody who has any ounce of common sense would say that what the government spends its money on, if it engages in some counter-cyclical stimulus package on AD falling, matters: If it is digging holes then we're all in trouble. On the other hand, if it is investments which create the conditions for expanding investment and hence potentially consumption, then a stimulus package may well be successful.

However, again, the Hayekian in Boudreaux will say that it's impossible, absolutely impossible, that the government could possible think up any such investment that would actually be better than what the private sector could have done without the government intruding. That's mainly because Hayekians cannot fathom situations where the price mechanism in the market doesn't function properly, and hence where market outcomes are inefficient, and things can be done to improve the situation (the classic example being some form of Pigouvian tax/subsidy in the case of externalities). They do this mainly because they ignore the possibility of imperfect information in markets. However, I'm in danger of starting to mischaracterise Hayekian economists if I carry on much longer...

 

Tuesday, July 5, 2011

Reagan: The Contrast

So this week, to commemorate 100 years since his birth, a statue of Ronald Reagan was unveiled in London.

I'm too young to have been around when he was President, but I'm intrigued by the perhaps predictable contrasting views on this from Liberal Conspiracy and Cranmer. It is, of course, easily explained. Those that decide he was not respected on these shores (and drag up memories - good ones! - of Spitting Image), ignore the many good things he must have done (heck, even the Guardian writer linked above, is positive about Reagan).

Yet those that venerate him (Cranmer - and I'm not sure what a "Christian" minister is doing venerating any fallen, sinful human being to the extent Cranmer does with anyone on the right of the political spectrum) ignore the bad things (see the cocaine related stuff to do with Nicaragua in the Liberal Conspiracy post.

I guess blogs that just take neutral and balanced views go unnoticed...?

Friday, July 1, 2011

Would Jesus Have Gone On Strike?

I should probably comment on here about the strikes of yesterday. That is, something likie 750,000 public sector workers going on strike about pension reforms.

I'm a product of our education system here, and certainly those that study economics at A-level I think come out with a rather odd internal inconsistency. They tend to be anti-market, but also anti-union, and from reading the essays of my students this year, I think that hasn't changed.

However, after pondering it, I am with the strikers. I've said it before, and I think it well and truly applies here: The Tories are remarkably good at propaganda. For all the criticism Labour got while in power for spin, the Tories really are the masters at this. They managed to convince the public that Britain was essentially becoming Greece and that austerity had to happen, and even as we lurch into a prolonged depression people still blame Labour for it (austerity, that is).

Why do I say this? Well, this little exchange between Evan Davis and Francis Maude. It shows the height of the Tory misinformation campaign - present the current system as unaffordable; have people go on the radio repeating this ad infinitum, and soon everyone will believe you. Certainly, everyone I've chatted with about this has presented this idea. But as Evan Davis points out, somewhat flippantly, is that this is not what the Hutton Report says, the report that the government is trying to use to justify the pension reforms. In fact, as things stand without reforms, the share of GDP going to public sector pensions will fall over time. How about that?!

Then on top of this, there's the fact that MPs also get pensions twice the size of teachers' pensions, and I think you can start to see why I'm supporting the strikers.

The only other argument I haven't addressed is the supposed "fairness" of public pensions vs private pensions. Comparisons abound about pay in the public and private sectors and almost all of them have a political angle, as Tim Harford pointed out on Radio 4 a week or so ago. How do you compare the different skill levels, different experience levels, plain different types of jobs in the two spheres? Are teachers really much better paid than their private equivalents (I doubt it), and if not, are they really that much worse than their private equivalents? Teachers tend to work investment banker style hours and get anything but an investment banker salary for much of their working lives. Why shouldn't they thus get a somewhat generous pension as a result of this? What is "fair" about cutting that pension, exactly? Don't we want to be attracting people into the teaching profession? The bottom line is that money talks and proposing to cut back an affordable-and-not-spectacularly-generous-relative-to-MPs pension system doesn't seem like the way to keep attracting people in...

Essentially, there's no pressing need to reform the pensions since they aren't unaffordable, and if there is a villain around, surely it's the self-interested politicians not interested in reforming their own system.